A Juniper Research study forecasts that global digital advertising spend will increase from USD 407 billion (€356.3bn) in 2022 to USD 753 billion in 2026; representing growth of 85 per cent. The report found that mobile in-app revenue will account for 56 % of global spend by 2026.
The research, Digital Advertising: Emerging Trends, Key Opportunities & Market Forecasts 2022-2026, found that whilst privacy changes from Apple and Google are restricting the potential for effective ad attribution, there are still major opportunities. The availability of the SKAdNetwork on iOS, for example, is a major opportunity for advertisers to access aggregated data; allowing them to target areas primed for growth, such as child-safe applications.
The report predicts that total mobile in-app advertising spend will increase from USD 201 billion in 2022 to USD 425 billion in 2026, as brands strive to secure consumer trust. It urges enterprises to clearly outline their data collection, storage, and usage policies, in order to optimise opt-ins.
Research author Scarlett Woodford remarked: “With recent data collection policy changes by technology giants creating further challenges for mobile attribution, enterprises must adopt a code of best practice to maximise return on advertising spend and support probabilistic attribution models.”
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The report anticipates that desktop advertising spend will increase from USD 97 billion in 2022 to USD 142 billion in 2026, despite a diversion of spend towards handheld devices and the implementation of data protection regulation impacting cookie policies.
The research identified video as a key channel for advertisers, with video ad spend expected to grow by 63 % over the next four years, as the success of popular distribution channels, such as TikTok and YouTube Shorts, continues to drive demand for video advertising and justify premium charges. Therefore, the research urges marketers to ensure that video ads are optimised for smartphone and tablet consumption, in order to maximise return on investment.