Flash estimate – August 2021 Euro Area annual inflation up to 3.0 %

Euro Area annual inflation is expected to be 3.0 % in August 2021, up from 2.2 % in July according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in August (15.4 %, compared with 14.3 % in July), followed by non-energy industrial goods (2.7 %, compared with 0.7 % in July), food, alcohol & tobacco (2.0 %, compared with 1.6 % in July) and services (1.1 %, compared with 0.9 % in July).

Geographical information

The Euro Area consists of Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia and Finland.

The euro area data refer to the country composition at a specific point in time. Changes in the composition of the euro area are incorporated using a chain index formula.

Methods and definitions

Annual inflation is the change of the price level of consumer goods and services between the current month and the same month of the previous year. Monthly inflation is the change of the price level between the current month and the previous month.

Data collection for HICP has been affected by the COVID-19 crisis in all euro area countries. Eurostat and the Member States’ national statistical institutes have agreed a set of procedures to estimate prices that could not be collected due to mobility restrictions or closures of outlets. All information about these procedures is available on the Eurostat website section on inflation.