Preliminary flash estimate for the third quarter of 2020 – GDP up by 12.7 % in the Euro Area and by 12.1 % in the EU, but -4.3 % and -3.9 % respectively compared with the third quarter of 2019

In the third quarter 2020, seasonally adjusted GDP increased by 12.7% in the euro area and by 12.1% in the EU, compared with the previous quarter, according to a preliminary flash estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. These were by far the sharpest increases observed since time series started in 1995, and a rebound compared to the second quarter of 2020, when GDP had decreased by 11.8% in the euro area and by 11.4% in the EU.

These preliminary GDP flash estimates are based on data sources that are incomplete and subject to further revisions.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP has however decreased by 4.3 % in the Euro Area and by 3.9 % in the EU in the third quarter of 2020, which represents a partial recovery after -14.8 % and -13.9 % respectively in the previous quarter.

Among the Member States, for which data are available for the third quarter 2020, France (+18.2 %) recorded the highest increase compared to the previous quarter, followed by Spain (+16.7 %) and Italy (+16.1 %). Lithuania (+3.7  %), Czechia (+6.2 %) and Latvia (+6.6 %) recorded the lowest increases. While a rebound was observed for all publishing countries compared to the second quarter, the year on year growth rates were still negative.

The next estimates for the third quarter of 2020 will be released on 13 November 2020.