Charting the path to the next normal

A daily chart that helps explain a changing world—during the pandemic and beyond.

When can your region reopen? It depends on the strength of its health system

Restarting an economy can’t follow a one-size-fits-all approach—a region’s public-health system must be able to detect and respond to the local COVID-19 transmission levels. To read the article, see “How to restart national economies during the coronavirus crisis,” April 2020.

COVID-19 may be claiming more lives than we think

May 14, 2020—More people are dying this year than in 2019, but it’s unclear whether that’s related to undiagnosed COVID-19 cases or to other causes. To read the article, see “COVID-19: Briefing note, May 13, 2020.”

Africa’s early fiscal stimulus appeared to fall short

May 13, 2020—As of mid-April, African stimulus measures—amounting to between 1 and 1.5 percent of GDP—seemed insufficient given the potential three- to eight-percentage-point reduction in GDP growth the continent could see from the pandemic. To read the article, see “Finding Africa’s path: Shaping bold solutions to save lives and livelihoods in the COVID-19 crisis,” April 2020.

If schools stay closed, how will people go back to work?

May 12, 2020—Workers with children under 15 years old who have no alternative caregiver—about 16 percent of the US workforce, and 20 to 30 percent of the European workforce (where there are more dual-income households )—will likely need childcare before being able to return fully to work. To read the article, see “Safely back to school after coronavirus closures,” April 2020.

Of 59 million European jobs at risk, half fall into three categories

May 11, 2020—The pandemic has put tens of millions of European workers’ jobs at risk, particularly those in customer service and sales, food services, and building trades. To read the article, see “Safeguarding Europe’s livelihoods: Mitigating the employment impact of COVID-19,” April 2020.