Coronavirus Insights: US Survey Update—First Hints of an Apparel Recovery (Select Findings) by Coresight Research

This report provides select findings from Coresight Research’s April 15 survey of US consumers on the coronavirus crisis, and provides an update to prior weeks’ survey reports. We asked respondents about the impact of the pandemic on their behaviors and their expectations, with a focus on implications for retailers.

Key Points

Our latest US consumer survey, undertaken on April 15, provides a weekly update on consumer behavior and sentiment amid the coronavirus crisis.

  • This week, we saw hints that the apparel category may be past its weakest point. We recorded a decline in the proportion of respondents cutting their clothing and footwear spend and a further increase in the proportion that are increasing their apparel spend, although the latter group remains small. The ratio of respondents purchasing less apparel to those purchasing more stood at 4.7 this week versus 8.4 two weeks ago.
  • Among respondents making more purchases or making fewer purchases because of the coronavirus crisis, one-quarter now expect their spending to return to normal levels only in more than six months’ time; this was up sharply from 18.5% last week. This timescale implies that the impacts could run up to the holiday season.
  • This week, 51% of respondents said they are extremely concerned about the outbreak, broadly in line with prior weeks, which suggests a plateauing of levels of concern.

Coresight Research’s latest survey of US consumers on the coronavirus outbreak was undertaken on April 15. In this report, we discuss the latest findings and compare them to those from prior weeks: April 8, April 1, March 25 and March 17–18.

Green Shoots for Fashion?

After jumping last week, we saw a leveling-off in the rate of shoppers buying more or less of certain categories this week (see Figure 1). Although these metrics remained stable at the overall level, we saw a number of category movements underlying them—including in clothing and footwear.

The apparel category has been the biggest loser so far in this crisis. However, this week we saw a decline in the number of shoppers making fewer apparel purchases and a further gradual increase in the proportion saying they are making more apparel purchases, although the latter group remains relatively small. These trends have resulted in a decline in the ratio of respondents purchasing less apparel to those purchasing more: That ratio stood at 4.7 shoppers buying less to each shopper buying more this week, versus 5.6 last week and 8.4 two weeks ago. We also recorded an increase in the number of consumers buying apparel online this week—see our full report for details of how many consumers are switching spending to e-commerce and in which categories.

These trends may reflect green shoots for clothing and footwear sales, and that we have passed the nadir. However, any improvement is in the context of deep discounting as retailers seek to recover some lost sales, and the data points do not suggest any return to near-normal levels of spending.Fig 1

Consumers are expecting a long haul, although overall Rates of Concern have plateaued

We asked those respondents who are spending more or spending less when they expect their spending to return to normal levels. Fully one-quarter of this group now expect their spending to return to normal levels only in more than six months’ time; this was up sharply from 18.5 % last week. This timescale implies that the impacts could run up to the holiday season. In total, a majority of respondents expect their spending to return to normal levels only in three months’ time or more.

This week, 51 % of respondents said they are extremely concerned about the outbreak, broadly level with the rates we recorded in recent weeks and implying a leveling-off of concern. However, we saw a big increase in levels of concern among younger consumers: This week, 48 % of those aged 18–29 were extremely concerned, up from 39 % last week.

Job Fears Increase, Week over Week

Despite the overall plateau in levels of concern, this week saw job and income worries increase. A total of 46.6 % were worried about losing their job or part of their income, up from 40.0 % last week. This is the first time that we have seen this figure increase since it peaked at 46.4 % on March 18.

Our full report includes more detailed findings on the impact of the outbreak on respondents’ employment and on what respondents are most concerned about during the coronavirus outbreak.

Our full report is available to premium subscribers and provides additional survey findings including:

  • How concerned US consumers are about the coronavirus outbreak, what they are worried about, and how long they think the severe impacts of the outbreak will last.
  • Whether shoppers are buying more or less of any retail categories as a result of the COVID-19 outbreak and, if so, which types of products.
  • When respondents expect their spending levels will return to normal. ·
  • Whether consumers are making more purchases online during the coronavirus outbreak and, if so, which categories.
  • Respondents’ concerns about jobs and incomes.
  • What proportion of US consumers are now avoiding public places or travel, and what kind of places they are avoiding.
  • Whether respondents expect to retain changed behaviors even after the COVID-19 outbreak ends and, if so, which.

In addition to this survey, Coresight Research is publishing ongoing coverage on the coronavirus outbreak which can be accessed here.

www.coresight.com